College football is almost back, which means Saturdays are about to become a virtual tailgate in front of the TV and the trading terminal – if you trade prediction markets.
The good news is we at Stand did your homework for you so you can watch more TV. We reviewed the top wallets across the Football, College Football, NCAA Football, and College Football Playoff markets to find you the best traders to copy trade before the new season kicks off.
Let’s meet the Saturday slate!
Methodology
We used Polymarket Analytics and Stand for the dataset. Markets are organized by labels. It’s worth calling out that the college football related labels have a limited number of events. There’s little consistency to how labels are applied to markets and events. To counteract this, we looked at Football, College Football, NCAA Football, and CFP markets to compare category rank, P&L, event count, win rate, position records, and active exposure. Unquestionably the four labels overlap. An event or wallet can appear under more than one tag, so the event counts and P&L columns below are four separate lenses—not numbers to add together.
Trader #1: cigarettes
College Football: #3 · $12,546.20 · 81.8% win rate
NCAA Football: #4 · $13,296.58 · 77.8% win rate
Cigarettes is the unanimous AP #1. He’s profitable in all four categories.
The P&L figures shift from $2,076.83 in Football to $13,296.58 in NCAA Football, but the direction does not. Even the tiny College Football Playoff result stays positive: $7.05 across six markets.
The lifetime profile is enormous: approximately $778,391 in overall P&L, 155,279 position records, and 36,774 events. Overall win rate is 50.9%, which is a useful dose of humility. The category record is the reason to follow—not a claim that this wallet wins everywhere.
Why follow: Watch repeated entries and portfolio construction. Do not tail every fill. A wallet this active can split one thesis into dozens of records. Copying the last trade after the price moves can leave you with all the smoke and none of the edge.
Trader #2: piratesfan1313
Best rank profile: Top 10 in Football, College Football, and NCAA Football
Football: #9 · $7,659.85 · 80.0% win rate
College Football: #5 · $10,285.45 · 100.0% win rate
Best historical NCAAF trade: +$8,790.36 on Oregon
Piratesfan1313 is right now NFL-heavy. He eats, sleeps, and breathes football. You’re catching him just at the right time, before he starts to accumulate any NCAAF positions..
The clearest historical NCAAF proof is the 2026 national-title market where he bought 38K shares on Oregon at a 77.0¢ average—about $29,500—and closed it with $8,790.36 in realized profit. He then backed Indiana to win the 2026 national title at a 41.9¢ average, 2,266.4 shares and roughly $950 deployed, to realize $1,316.
In 2025, Pirates had exposure on Penn State, Notre Dame, Ohio State, Texas, Oregon, Miami, Georgia, Clemson, Tennessee, and the field. Some trades won and some lost. The point is, after two consecutive successful trading seasons, you can expect this level of activity in 2026/27.
Why follow: Watch how piratesfan1313 builds a championship portfolio when NCAAF positions return. There is no current college-football pick to copy, but rest assured, in time, there will be.
Trader #3: oliman2
Best live NCAAF signal: Notre Dame ‘No’
Football: #8 · $7,678.41 · 85.7% win rate
College Football: #14 · $3,354.71 · 100.0% win rate
NCAA Football: #1007 · -$448.99 · 60.0% win rate
Oliman2 is already wheeling and dealing. His largest open NCAAF position is ‘No’ on Notre Dame winning the 2027 CFP National Championship: 1,776.4 shares at a 78.0¢ average at $1,386 initially deployed. As of this post, the position is worth roughly $1,545 with about $159 in unrealized profit. He also has a small ‘No’ on LSU: 15.2 shares at an 87.8¢ average. Honestly, that’s likely just a monitor trade – a trade where you take a small position not for profit but to track it in case it starts moving down the road.
The broader record is what you want to see: #8 in Football P&L with an 85.7% win rate across 35 markets, plus a perfect 6/6 in College Football tagged events. But the NCAA Football filter throws cold Gatorade on the story as he’s carrying a -$448.99 loss and a #1007 rank. We suspect that’s due to low sampling from 5 markets.
Why follow: Monitor the Notre Dame ‘No’ position by entry price, added size, partial exits, and whether the thesis changes. That is more useful than treating a 100% five or six-event College Football record as a magic signal.
In Closing,
Changing it up this time, we figured we’d show the traders by category rank, P&L, and events traded. “Not returned” means the Oliman did not appear in that category’s leaderboard snapshot; it does not prove the wallet has never touched a related market.
This is why a single leaderboard makes a shaky scouting report.
To recap:
Follow cigarettes for the strongest all-around cross-category record.
Follow piratesfan1313 for a proven historical NCAAF championship book—but wait for a new college-football position.
Keep oliman2 on the watchlist for the live Notre Dame future.
Remember, remember, remember DYOR. Do. Your. Own. Research. No wallet is an ATM. Historical PnL can hide concentration. Perfect win rate can hide a tiny sample and overlapping tags can make the same history look like four different résumés. Use these wallets as research leads, not remote controls.
You can follow these wallets on Stand.trade and watch their trades appear in real time. Kickoff is coming. Where do you Stand?
Note: This content is provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial or investment advice.