The beautiful game is kicking off again on Friday. The World Cup gave traders deep markets, violent price swings, and endless days of pure joy. It also gave us new datasets to dig into to uncover hidden gems to copy trade! Now that the Premier League is back, football trading returns complete with match lines, title futures, relegation battles, and the kind of injury news that can wreck a position before breakfast.
Methodology
We analyzed Polymarket’s top traders for the Premier League and 2026 FIFA World Cup categories on Polymarket Analytics. We had a head start after Stand’s June feature, “Three World Cup Polymarket traders to follow.”
This is not simply a list of the five biggest traders. We looked for a range of folk that offered different kinds of signals: large samples, repeatable results, experience across club AND international football. We even threw in a contrarian just for variety
Without further adieu, let’s dig in to the traders!
1. swisstony: forever #10
Premier League: #1
Win Rate: 51.6%
World Cup PnL: $3.06M
Swisstony is to trading what Messi is to football. The greatest to ever do it.
Polymarket Analytics ranks him No. 1 for Premier League PnL, with over 6,400 positions, a 51.6% win rate and an astounding $3.06 million in profit. That tracks for the #1 overall trader on Polymarket.
I repeat. The. Number. One. Trader. On. Polymarket.
He was number 3 back when we wrote our World Cup coverage. Swisstony is not here because of one inspired tournament bet. He’s here because he has thousands of decisions across the football calendar with, and I repeat, an above average win rate. His body of work should be studied by Citadel and Jane Street, and it probably is!
During the World Cup, he went all-in on France, Brazil, England, Spain, the USA, Germany, Portugal, and Norway. In the upcoming season, watch where he concentrates. He was all over the place for the FA Community Shield
2: ndb1: the wonderkid
World Cup: #9
Win Rate: 70.4%
World Cup PnL: $892K
For any trader who wants to over index on win rate, ndb1’s sterling 70% on World Cup markets tops the ranks and matches Pep’s career win rate. It’s not a small sample size either with over 237 positions to show for it, resulting in $892,177 profit.
So when ndb1 has a $200K bet that Man City will not win the EPL, we take heart, especially when you consider this is the youngest trader here (by account creation date). He also bought No on Dembele to win the Ballon d’Or, but that seems to have been more of a bond.
It’s worth calling out that ndb1 trades sports of all shapes and sizes. He even sneaks in a few (and, by a few, I mean A LOT) crypto trades too. But this is a football post, so we’ll keep it to football.
3. RN1: the automatic striker
Premier League: #5
Win Rate: 58.5%
Premier League PnL: $1.07M
With over 5,300 Premier League positions and a 58% win rate, you’re gonna want to watch RN1. That is the second-largest sample in the current top 10, right behind Swisstony. No single metric proves skill, but when you throw in an all-time $12M PnL, $1M in football alone, RN1 deserves attention.
You can’t even fault him for his worst loss where he took a $138K L. You know why? He lost it in the Spain Cabo Verde group stage game.
A word of caution: that chart line is suspiciously linear. It’s entirely plausible RN1 is a bot, in which case, be on guard. They can move faster than manual traders and know they’re being watched. As a general rule, we recommend people avoid copy trading bots.
4. ChinesePro: El presidente
Premier League: #3
Win Rate: 54.6%
Premier League PnL: $1.30M
ChinesePro is a pro’s pro. He’s #3 in the ‘Premier League category’, with 340 positions, a 54.6% win rate and over $1.30 million in profit. Running through the other leagues, #5 in Bundesliga 2, #8 in Ligue 1, and so on. But here’s where it gets sick: #60 in Norway Eliteserien, #191 in Eredivise (Netherland’s league), and #374 in Japan’s J League. There’s no league in the world where Chinese Pro doesn’t have action. In fact, back in April, he won $72K betting No on the favorite CA Tigre. It was a trade for the ages.
He’s already got both ‘Yes’ and ‘No’ positions for Arsenal to win on 8/21, with a slight tilt towards ‘No’. I wouldn’t read too much into it as he’ll likely live trade those positions.
5. GamblingIsAllYouNeed: at least for him it is!
Premier League: #6
Win Rate: 56.5%
Premier League PnL: $853K
Moveover Chinese Pro, because GamblingIsAllYourNeed lives up to the name: #6 in the Premier League, with 1,949 positions, a 56.5% win rate, and $852,756 PnL. But guess this – my man is out here trading MLS games. Honestly, who is trading on the New England Revolution? Good thing he has the track record to back it up.
The one quibble we have and why we didn’t put him higher is that he hasn’t traded since August 8th. Is he taking a break or done for good? The proof will be in the pudding come Friday. We figured we’d add him all the same. Who would abandon such a terrific handle?
Bonus: Jsram
Premier League: #10
Premier League PnL: $981K
World Cup: #8
World Cup PnL: $712K
Jsram was relegated to the bonus section as he’s lacking in trades. Yes, he won $1.9M in the World Cup final when he correctly picked Spain. And yes, he ranks No. 10 in the Premier League with $712,102 in PnL and No. 8 in the World Cup with $980,952 in PnL. However, his World Cup record shows a 75% win rate across 17 positions. But that’s the exactly the problem: sample size and variance.
Interestingly enough, he does have Bruno Fernandes to the 2026 PFA player of the Year. He’s a profile to monitor carefully, for sure.
Copy the process, not just the position
A profitable trader is not always profitable to copy. Entry price, liquidity, timing, and position size can turn the same idea into a very different trade. Five minutes is sometimes enough.
Remember…
Watch how the trader behaves. Does the wallet scalp, hold to resolution, or rotate through correlated outcomes?
Set a maximum entry price and set your exit price
Scale every position slowly
Check for overlapping exposure. Ten wallets holding England are still one England bet.
Revisit the data. When the data changes, so should your thesis.
In Closing
More volume was traded across the World Cup than any sporting event to date. Will that trend continue into this soccer season (I know it’s football, but it doesn’t have as strong alliteration)? Time will tell.
Together, these 5 traders offer 5 different ways to read a football market. Follow the flow, respect the price, and always, always, always, DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH!
N.B: This content is provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial or investment advice.